Prediction of Federica Bilardo vs Mathilde Lollia at W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 10-09-25

• How do Federica Bilardo and Mathilde Lollia compare in their second serve performance recently? Federica leads slightly by winning 39.17% of points compared to Mathilde's 38.95%.
• In return games, Mathilde shows a significant edge, capturing 51.98% of their opponent's second serve points, whereas Federica secures only 38.19%.
• For first serve returns, the difference is minimal, with Federica winning 35.29% and Mathilde at 35.08%.
• Under pressure, Mathilde edges out with a breakpoint saving percentage of 49.86% compared to Federica's 46.67%.
• Looking at overall match wins in the past year, Mathilde has a substantial lead, winning 62.16% of her matches, while Federica has won just 33.33%.
• Both players excel on clay with matching win percentages of 57%, but Mathilde struggles more on indoor hard courts compared to Federica.
• Mathilde has been playing against, on average, higher-ranked opponents (415.89) than Federica (468.44).
• In matches that reach a deciding set, Mathilde has a significant advantage, winning 58% compared to Federica's 0% over the past year.

Editorial Prediction (October 9, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing their recent form and various stats, Federica Bilardo and Mathilde Lollia present an enticing tennis matchup.

Mathilde seems to have a slight advantage with better return game statistics, especially on second serves, where Federica has struggled more. This is a crucial area since winning return points can tilt the match in one's favor.

Additionally, Mathilde's higher success rate in high-pressure scenarios, such as deciding sets, suggests that she may handle tense situations more effectively.

While both players share similar strengths on clay, the overall match-winning and opponent quality stats give Mathilde a noticeable edge.

Therefore, based on the current facts and recent performance trends, Mathilde Lollia appears to be the most likely winner of this upcoming tennis match.